EXECUTIVE
SUMMARY
|
A Working
White Paper on Y2K:
|
"A Call
to Action: National and Global Implications of the Year 2000 and Embedded
Systems Crisis"
|
by
Paula D. Gordon, Ph.D.
Independent Consultant |
"A Call to Action: National and Global Implications
of the Year 2000
and Embedded Systems Crisis" has been prepared
as a challenge to those in
positions of public responsibility to rethink
and redefine the approach they
are taking to the threats and challenges posed
by the Year 2000 and embedded
systems crisis. The author urges persons in
roles of public responsibility
to take decisive actions that will minimize
the harmful impacts of Y2K to
the extent possible and recommends actions
that should be taken, including
the establishment of a Special Action Office
for Y2K in the Executive Office
of the President.
The central message in Dr. Gordon's White Paper
concerns the serious
threats posed by embedded systems. In defining
"embedded systems", Dr.
Gordon uses the definition taken from the
United Kingdom's Action 2000 Web site:
www.open.gov.uk/bg2000/whattodo/embsys2.html:
"Embedded systems contain 'programmed instructions
running via
processor chips....They perform control, protection,
and monitoring
tasks....In broad terms embedded systems are
programmable devices or
systems which are generally used to control
or monitor things like
processes, machinery, environments, equipment,
and communications."
According to the Gartner Group estimates, there
are a minimum of 20 million
embedded systems that are going to malfunction
, remediated or other
steps are not taken. Dr. Gordon asserts that
there is neither the time, nor
the manpower and resources to identify all
of those embedded systems likely
to malfunction and replace them or make sure
that they do not malfunction.
Dr. Gordon's perspective could not be in sharper
contrast to the perspective
that can be found in the January 7th Report
released by the President's
Council. According to that report "The Y2K
problem is solvable". According
to Dr. Gordon, Y2K is not a solvable problem.
She believes that all that we
can do now is to work as smartly and rapidly
as we can to minimize the
damaging impacts on all fronts. The primary
emphasis of the President's
Council has been on information gathering,
monitoring, assessing progress,
and coordinating communication and activity
~ approaches which are neither
crisis-oriented nor adequately designed to
minimize to the extent possible
the harm that can be expected, such as:
~ the failure of weapons systems (owing to
human factors coupled with IT
or other other malfunctions)
~ the failure of nuclear power plants
~ the failure of chemical plant (80% of the
American public live within
five miles of a chemical
plant),
~ the failure of pipelines and refineries,
~ the failure of hazardous material sites, etc., etc.
Dr. Gordon states that those at the forefront
of national and global efforts
seem to be basing their efforts on a partial
definition of the problem.
Consequently they fail to grasp the seriousness
of the problem. The
commonsense, leadership, vision, and sense
of commitment to addressing the
problem seems also to be lacking, along with
an absence of a sense of
obligation to commit all necessary resources
and act.
The White Paper is at http://users.rcn.com/pgordon/y2k.
Part 1 provides a definition of the three
parts of the Y2K problem:
information technology and communications
technology, embedded systems, and
interdependency and connectivity issues. It
also discusses the various
impacts that each of these three parts can
have. It discusses the fact that
few people, including public officials at
the highest levels of government,
have understood the problem in this broad
a manner.
Part 2 focuses on date or time sensitive embedded
systems and on the
implications that their failures have for
public health and safety and
environmental sustainability.
Part 3 describes the kind of adequately funded,
action-oriented,
crisis-oriented, proactive organizational
efforts that the Federal
government should have set up long ago to
address Y2K and embedded systems
problems. (California has such an approach.)
Part 4 analyzes President Clinton's Y2K "strategy"
to wait until the
rollover to assume a leadership role. (This
would include having Vice
President Gore assume a leadership role.)
Part 4 includes an appendix with
a transcription of an exchange at the Y2K
Conference on July 28 in
Washington, DC. The exchange was between Paula
Gordon and Congressman
Kucinich and focused on the President's Y2K
strategy. Part 4 is entitled
"The Y2K and Embedded Systems Crisis ~ Why
Isn't the Crisis Being Treated as
a Crisis as Yet, Nationally or Globally?"
Part 5, "In Case of Fire, Yell 'Fire'" describes
best and worst case
scenarios for the remaining weeks leading
up to the Century Date Change.
Part 6, "'De Nile Ain't Just a River in Egypt'
~ Social Pressure, Group
Think, and Denial vs Common Sense in the Y2K
and Embedded Systems Crisis"
describes some major barriers to progress
in efforts to get the government
to take needed action.
The e-mail address for Dr. Gordon is pgordon@erols.com.
[ White Paper: Part 1 ] [ White Paper: Part 2 ] [ White Paper: Part 3 ]
[ Table Of Contents ] [ References and Resources ]