| EXECUTIVE
SUMMARY
 | 
| A Working
White Paper on Y2K:
 | 
| "A Call
to Action: National and Global Implications of the Year 2000 and Embedded
Systems Crisis"
 | 
|  by
Paula D. Gordon, Ph.D.
 Independent Consultant  | 
     "A Call to Action: National and Global Implications
of the Year 2000
     and Embedded Systems Crisis" has been prepared
as a challenge to those in
     positions of public responsibility to rethink
and redefine the approach they
     are taking to the threats and challenges posed
by the Year 2000 and embedded
     systems crisis. The author urges persons in
roles of public responsibility
     to take decisive actions that will minimize
the harmful impacts of Y2K to
     the extent possible and recommends actions
that should be taken, including
     the establishment of a Special Action Office
for Y2K in the Executive Office
     of the President.
     The central message in Dr. Gordon's White Paper
concerns the serious
     threats posed by embedded systems. In defining
"embedded systems", Dr.
     Gordon uses the definition taken from the
United Kingdom's Action 2000 Web site:
     www.open.gov.uk/bg2000/whattodo/embsys2.html:
     "Embedded systems contain 'programmed instructions
running via
     processor chips....They perform control, protection,
and monitoring
     tasks....In broad terms embedded systems are
programmable devices or
     systems which are generally used to control
or monitor things like
     processes, machinery, environments, equipment,
and communications."
     According to the Gartner Group estimates, there
are a minimum of 20 million
     embedded systems that are going to malfunction
, remediated or other
     steps are not taken. Dr. Gordon asserts that
there is neither the time, nor
     the manpower and resources to identify all
of those embedded systems likely
     to malfunction and replace them or make sure
that they do not malfunction.
     Dr. Gordon's perspective could not be in sharper
contrast to the perspective
     that can be found in the January 7th Report
released by the President's
     Council. According to that report "The Y2K
problem is solvable". According
     to Dr. Gordon, Y2K is not a solvable problem.
She believes that all that we
     can do now is to work as smartly and rapidly
as we can to minimize the
     damaging impacts on all fronts. The primary
emphasis of the President's
     Council has been on information gathering,
monitoring, assessing progress,
     and coordinating communication and activity
~ approaches which are neither
     crisis-oriented nor adequately designed to
minimize to the extent possible
     the harm that can be expected, such as:
     ~ the failure of weapons systems (owing to
human factors coupled with IT
     or other other malfunctions)
~ the failure of nuclear power plants
     ~ the failure of chemical plant (80% of the
American public live within
        five miles of a chemical
plant),
~ the failure of pipelines and refineries,
~ the failure of hazardous material sites, etc., etc.
     Dr. Gordon states that those at the forefront
of national and global efforts
     seem to be basing their efforts on a partial
definition of the problem.
     Consequently they fail to grasp the seriousness
of the problem. The
     commonsense, leadership, vision, and sense
of commitment to addressing the
     problem seems also to be lacking, along with
an absence of a sense of
     obligation to commit all necessary resources
and act.
     The White Paper is at http://users.rcn.com/pgordon/y2k. 
  
   
     Part 1 provides a definition of the three
parts of the Y2K problem:
     information technology and communications
technology, embedded systems, and
     interdependency and connectivity issues. It
also discusses the various
     impacts that each of these three parts can
have. It discusses the fact that
     few people, including public officials at
the highest levels of government,
     have understood the problem in this broad
a manner.
     Part 2 focuses on date or time sensitive embedded
systems and on the
     implications that their failures have for
public health and safety and
     environmental sustainability.
     Part 3 describes the kind of adequately funded,
action-oriented,
     crisis-oriented, proactive organizational
efforts that the Federal
     government should have set up long ago to
address Y2K and embedded systems
     problems. (California has such an approach.)
     Part 4 analyzes President Clinton's Y2K "strategy"
to wait until the
     rollover to assume a leadership role. (This
would include having Vice
     President Gore assume a leadership role.)
Part 4 includes an appendix with
     a transcription of an exchange at the Y2K
Conference on July 28 in
     Washington, DC. The exchange was between Paula
Gordon and Congressman
     Kucinich and focused on the President's Y2K
strategy. Part 4 is entitled
     "The Y2K and Embedded Systems Crisis ~ Why
Isn't the Crisis Being Treated as
     a Crisis as Yet, Nationally or Globally?"
     Part 5, "In Case of Fire, Yell 'Fire'" describes
best and worst case
     scenarios for the remaining weeks leading
up to the Century Date Change.
     Part 6, "'De Nile Ain't Just a River in Egypt'
~ Social Pressure, Group
     Think, and Denial vs Common Sense in the Y2K
and Embedded Systems Crisis"
     describes some major barriers to progress
in efforts to get the government
     to take needed action.
The e-mail address for Dr. Gordon is pgordon@erols.com.
 
 
[ White Paper: Part 1 ] [ White Paper: Part 2 ] [ White Paper: Part 3 ]
[ Table Of Contents ] [ References and Resources ]